Mortgage demand has shrunk as interest rates have risen to their highest level in nearly 23 years

  • The average contractual interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($726,200 or less) rose last week to 7.41%, from 7.31%.
  • Home loan refinancing applications fell 1% during the week and were 21% lower than one year ago.
  • Home mortgage applications fell 2% during the week and were 27% lower than the same week one year ago.

Ryan Ratliff (left), a real estate sales associate with Re/Max Advance Realty, shows Ryan Paredes (right) and Ariadna Paredes a home for sale on April 20, 2023 in Cutler Bay, Florida.

Joe Rydell | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Mortgage interest rates have reached a level not seen since 2000. As a result, mortgage demand is now near its lowest level in 27 years.

Total mortgage application volume fell 1.3% last week compared to the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index. Volume was 25.5% lower than the same week one year ago.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($726,200 or less) rose to 7.41%, from 7.31%, with points falling to 0.71 from 0.72 (including origination fees) for yielding loans. 20%. Initial payment. The rate was 6.52% one year ago.

The interest rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage rose to 7.34%, the highest rate in the history of the MBA’s massive interest rate series dating back to 2011.

“Based on the latest FOMC forecasts, interest rates are expected to be higher for longer, pushing up Treasury yields,” said Joel Kahn, an MBA economist, referring to the FOMC. . “Total applications are down, as homebuyers and potential homeowners continue to feel the impact of these higher rates.”

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Home loan refinancing applications fell 1% during the week and were 21% lower than one year ago. After record low interest rates throughout the first few years of the pandemic, and a refinancing boom, there are now few borrowers with mortgage rates high enough to take advantage of refinancing.

Home mortgage applications fell 2% during the week and were 27% lower than the same week year over year.

Today’s prospective buyers are facing an unprecedented dynamic of a historically low supply of homes for sale, coupled with rising interest rates and rising prices. Historically, high interest rates affect home prices, but the imbalance between supply and demand is so severe that it pushes prices higher even though more and more buyers are unable to afford a home.

Interest rates continued to rise this week, according to a separate survey by Mortgage News Daily. Even sales of newly built homes, which had been rising due to a lack of supply in the resale market, took a hit in August, according to another report this week. Sales fell nearly 9% in August from July’s pace, reaching their lowest level since March.

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