Maps: Hurricane Beryl Watch – The New York Times

Beryl was a Category 2 hurricane in the North Atlantic on Sunday Eastern Time, the National Hurricane Center said in its latest report. Advice.

The tornado had sustained winds of 100 miles per hour. Follow our coverage here.

All times on the map are Eastern.

Beryl is the second storm to form in the Atlantic in 2024.

At the end of May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted there would be 17 to 25 named storms this year, more than normal.

What does the storm look like from above?

Satellite images can help determine the strength, size and timing of storms. The stronger a storm becomes, the more likely it is to develop an eye in the center. When the eye looks symmetrical, it means the storm hasn’t encountered anything to weaken it.

This season follows a more active year, with 20 named storms — including the earliest storm that was later given the official name of “unnamed.” It was the eighth year in a row that the 14 named storms exceeded the average. Only one hurricane, Italia, made landfall in the United States.

In general, the El Niño pattern that prevailed last season suppressed hurricanes and reduced the number of storms in a season. But in 2023, warmer ocean temperatures in the Atlantic blunted El Niño’s regular storm-suppressing effect.

The warm ocean temperatures that fueled last year’s season returned even warmer early this season, raising forecasters’ hopes for more storms this year. Rising sea surface temperatures will strengthen storms faster than usual.

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To make matters worse, last year’s El Niño pattern is also waning, often creating more favorable conditions for storms to form and intensify.

Hurricanes need a calm environment to develop, and a strong El Niño in the Atlantic increases wind speed — a change in wind speed and/or direction with height — that disrupts a storm’s ability to coalesce. Without El Niño this year, the clouds would tower to the heights necessary to sustain a powerful hurricane.

Sources and References

Monitoring map Source: National Hurricane Center | Notes: Graph shows at least 5 percent probabilities. The forecast is up to five days, starting up to three hours before the storm is reported to reach its latest location. Wind speed probability data are not available north of 60.25 degrees north latitude.

Air arrival schedule Sources: New York Times analysis of National Hurricane Center data (visit times); US Census Bureau and Natural Earth (geographical locations); Google (Time Zones) | Notes: The chart shows estimated arrival times when wind gusts of 58 mph are likely to reach those locations in specific cities. “Probable” times mean that if damaging winds occur, they have at least a 10 percent chance of occurring at the time shown. “Most likely” times mean that, if damaging winds occur, winds are equally likely to occur before and after the times shown.

Radar map Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration via Iowa State University | Notes: These mosaics are created by combining the 130+ individual radars that comprise the NEXRAD network.

Storm surge map Source: National Hurricane Center | Notes: Forecasts include only the United States Gulf and Atlantic coasts, Puerto Rico, and the US Virgin Islands. Actual flood prone areas may differ from the areas shown on this map. This map represents tides, but not tides, and not floods caused by rain. The map also includes intertidal areas, which are usually flooded during regular high tides.

Satellite map Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration| Notes: Images are only updated between sunrise and sunset of the latest storm location.

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